A while back one of my students, “Frank,” a real smarty-pants, started babbling about something called Bayes’ theorem. He wrote a long, dense paper about the theorem’s revelatory power, which had ...

Observing, gathering knowledge and making predictions are the foundations of the scientific process. The accuracy of our predictions depends on the quality of our present knowledge and accuracy of our ...

In science, progress is possible. In fact, if one believes in Bayes' theorem, scientific progress is inevitable as predictions are made and as beliefs are tested and refined. ~ Nate Silver If the ...

[url=http://arstechnica.com/civis/viewtopic.php?p=24649285#p24649285:3j46jg05 said: l8gravely[/url]":3j46jg05]The article was nice, but boy would I have appreciated ...

The author of this dense and complicated volume is an independent scholar, a self-professed nonbeliever, and author (Why I Am Not a Christian) and editor. However, he comes to his subject as very much ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract The use of statistics and probabilities as legal evidence has recently come under increased scrutiny. Judges' and jurors' ability to ...