To our surprise, the US economy has not entered a recession over the past two years. This is not because a recession has been avoided altogether but because the current economic cycle has been ...

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences has awarded this year’s Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences to the American economists ...

What is an economic supercycle? An economic supercycle typically refers to a prolonged period of expansion, which can last as long as a few decades. Opinions vary among economists as to the exact ...

Two years ago, central banks embarked on the most aggressive monetary tightening in decades to restrain the extraordinarily expansive financing conditions deployed during the pandemic, measures that ...

However, warning signs are mounting that suggest stocks may have come too far, too fast. For instance, the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is sitting at its third-priciest reading in ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. I share insight and perspective on financial advice and true wealth. A boom and bust cycle refers to the alternating periods of ...

Understanding the economic cycle can help investors make informed decisions.

The economic landscape is constantly shifting, creating both opportunities and challenges for businesses. While some companies struggle during downturns, others demonstrate resilience and thrive ...

As a proponent of the Austrian School of Economics, I fundamentally oppose state intervention in economic affairs, particularly the manipulation of interest rates by central banks. Before addressing ...

In our opinion, it’s not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. We use the commodity/gold ratio (the Spot Commodity Index (GNX) ...