Way-to-early betting odds for the 2028 Presidential Election has Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom and JD Vance in a tight race.

Polling in off-year election cycles is challenging because it’s hard to know who will turn out to vote. This year, the polls significantly overestimated the Republicans in the Virginia and New Jersey governor’s races, which both had particularly high turnout for an off year. In 2021, polls had the opposite problem, as they overestimated Democrats.

When examined by per capita spending, the state's 2025 governor election was the priciest in the nation's history, data shows.